Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Skip Snow
Sportsbook Wire

The Chicago White Sox (18-19) and Kansas City Royals (14-22) meet for the rubber game of a 5-game set Thursday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is slated for a 2:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the White Sox vs. Royalsodds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Royals lead 4-3.

Chicago has scored just 6 runs over the last 3 games of this series. The Pale Hose have clocked a mere .608 OPS over their last 7 games.

Conversely and despite being shut out by these White Sox in game 1 of a Tuesday doubleheader, the Royals have notched an .813 OPS over their last 7 games.

White Sox at Royals projected starters

RHP Vince Velasquez vs. RHP Carlos Hernandez

Velasquez (2-3, 5.53 ERA) is slated to make his 7th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 27 2/3 IP.

  • Coming off a rocky outing Friday against the New York Yankees with 7 runs allowed on 8 hits (3 home runs) across 5 IP.
  • Posted a 6.30 ERA in 94 1/3 IP last season between the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies.

Hernandez (0-3, 9.11 ERA) has a 2.03 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 4.4 K/9 through 26 2/3 IP across 6 starts.

  • Coming off 2 straight clunkers on the road where he allowed a combined 15 R on 15 H across just 8 2/3 IP against the Baltimore Orioles and Colorado Rockies.
  • Logged a 1.59 ERA over 3 starts against Chicago last season.

White Sox at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL): White Sox -1.5 (+110) | Royals +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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White Sox at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 6, White Sox 5

Money line

Hernandez has certainly not looked like the hurler that clocked a 3.68 ERA in 85 2/3 IP last year, and the Kansas City bullpen may have some back-end availability issues in this game.

However, Hernandez has been beaten up by some luck-factor rates around the margins (54.7% left-on-base rate for example), and the ROYALS (+120) are worth a shot in this get-away day game.

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Run line/Against the spread

Bettors wanting some cushion against a bullpen failure may want to take KANSAS CITY +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

Neither bullpen is all that outstanding, and both offenses sport some Statcast numbers that would call for better production. With a forecasted temperature nearing the mid-80s and a double-digit wind blowing out to left-center, figure on the batters winning a few more battles in this one.

TAKE THE OVER 9.5 (-107).

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