Florida State at Florida odds, picks and prediction

The Florida State Seminoles (5-6) visit the Florida Gators (5-6) Saturday for a noon ET kickoff at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville (on ESPN). Below, we look at the Florida State vs. Florida odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

This non-conference showdown is the regular-season finale for both teams, but there's more on the line than just winning a heated rivalry. Both programs need one more victory to become bowl eligible.

Florida State enters with a two-game win streak, recently upsetting Boston College 26-23 as 3-point road underdogs last Saturday. QB Jordan Travis threw for 251 with 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions as FSU had to fend off a rally in the second half after building a 26-3 with 12:23 to go in the third quarter.

Florida will play its first game after firing head coach Dan Mullen Sunday. A day earlier, the Gators suffered a stunning 24-23 overtime loss at Missouri as 9.5-point favorites. Special teams coordinator and running backs coach Greg Knox will serve as interim coach for the time being.

See also: AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA Today Sports.

Florida State at Florida odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:37 p.m. ET.

• Money line: Florida State +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Florida -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Florida State +3.5 (-125) | Florida -3.5 (+100)
• Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Florida State at Florida odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida State 27, Florida 24

Money line

BACK FLORIDA STATE ( +125) for a HALF UNIT.

These are two teams headed in different directions. Before the Boston College win, FSU upset Miami 31-28 two weeks ago as a 2.5-point home dog.

Meanwhile, Florida is on an 0-5 ATS run and is 1-4 SU in its last five games.

Look for the Seminoles to close out their regular season with another instate victory, while the Gators will be focused on who will be their next head coach.

Against the spread

FLORIDA STATE +3.5(-125) is the STRONGEST PLAY - 1½ times your usual wager - as the Seminoles will avenge back-to-back losses in this series.

ATS records: Florida State 5-6 | Florida 3-8

While the rivals didn't play last season because the SEC only scheduled conference games due to COVID-19, the 'Noles lost 40-17 at the Gators in 2019 and 41-14 at home in 2018.

Florida covered those contests as 17-point and 8.5-point favorites, respectively.

Over/Under

BETUNDER 58.5 (- 120) to WIN 0.5 UNITS.

O/U records: Florida State 4-7 | Florida 5-6

The Under is 3-0 in the Seminoles' last three games as they averaged 23.7 points per game (PPG).

Toss out the Gators' 70-52 win over cupcake Samford two weeks ago and they've averaged 15.7 PPG in their three past games.

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